Analysis of MH370 by Chris Goodfellow

Dear All,

This is the best analysis I have seen on what happened to MH370. An analysis by an ex-pilot himself Chris Goodfellow.

“Chris Goodfellow, Shared publicly – Mar 14, 2014 on Google+ . . . . .


MH370 A different point of view. Pulau Langkawi 13,000 runway.

A lot of speculation about MH370. Terrorism, hijack, meteors. I cannot believe the analysis on CNN – almost disturbing. I tend to look for a more simple explanation of this event.

Loaded 777 departs midnight from Kuala to Beijing. Hot night. Heavy aircraft. About an hour out across the gulf towards Vietnam the plane goes dark meaning the transponder goes off and secondary radar tracking goes off.

Two days later we hear of reports that Malaysian military radar (which is a primary radar meaning the plane is being tracked by reflection rather than by transponder interrogation response) has tracked the plane on a southwesterly course back across the Malay Peninsula into the straits of Malacca.

When I heard this I immediately brought up Google Earth and I searched for airports in proximity to the track towards southwest.

The left turn is the key here. This was a very experienced senior Captain with 18,000 hours. Maybe some of the younger pilots interviewed on CNN didn’t pick up on this left turn. We old pilots were always drilled to always know the closest airport of safe harbor while in cruise. Airports behind us, airports abeam us and airports ahead of us. Always in our head. Always. Because if something happens you don’t want to be thinking what are you going to do – you already know what you are going to do. Instinctively when I saw that left turn with a direct heading I knew he was heading for an airport. Actually he was taking a direct route to Palau Langkawi a 13,000 foot strip with an approach over water at night with no obstacles. He did not turn back to Kuala Lampur because he knew he had 8,000 foot ridges to cross. He knew the terrain was friendlier towards Langkawi and also a shorter distance.

Take a look on Google Earth at this airport. This pilot did all the right things. He was confronted by some major event onboard that made him make that immediate turn back to the closest safe airport.
For me the loss of transponders and communications makes perfect sense if a fire. There was most likely a fire or electrical fire. In the case of fire the first response if to pull all the main busses and restore circuits one by one until you have isolated the bad one.

If they pulled the busses the plane indeed would go silent. It was probably a serious event and they simply were occupied with controlling the plane and trying to fight the fire. Aviate, Navigate and lastly communicate. There are two types of fires. Electrical might not be as fast and furious and there might or might not be incapacitating smoke. However there is the possibility given the timeline that perhaps there was an overheat on one of the front landing gear tires and it blew on takeoff and started slowly burning. Yes this happens with underinflated tires. Remember heavy plane, hot night, sea level, long run takeoff. There was a well known accident in Nigeria of a DC8 that had a landing gear fire on takeoff. A tire fire once going would produce horrific incapacitating smoke. Yes, pilots have access to oxygen masks but this is a no no with fire. Most have access to a smoke hood with a filter but this will only last for a few minutes depending on the smoke level. (I used to carry one of my own in a flight bag and I still carry one in my briefcase today when I fly).

What I think happened is that they were overcome by smoke and the plane just continued on the heading probably on George (autopilot) until either fuel exhaustion or fire destroyed the control surfaces and it crashed. I said four days ago you will find it along that route – looking elsewhere was pointless.

This pilot, as I say, was a hero struggling with an impossible situation trying to get that plane to Langkawi. No doubt in my mind. That’s the reason for the turn and direct route. A hijack would not have made that deliberate left turn with a direct heading for Langkawi. It would probably have weaved around a bit until the hijackers decided on where they were taking it.

Surprisingly none of the reporters , officials, other pilots interviewed have looked at this from the pilot’s viewpoint. If something went wrong where would he go? Thanks to Google earth I spotted Langkawi in about 30 seconds, zoomed in and saw how long the runway was and I just instinctively knew this pilot knew this airport. He had probably flown there many times. I guess we will eventually find out when you help me spread this theory on the net and some reporters finally take a look on Google earth and put 2 and 2 together. Also a look at the age and number of cycles on those nose tires might give us a good clue too.

Fire in an aircraft demands one thing – you get the machine on the ground as soon as possible. There are two well remembered experiences in my memory. The AirCanada DC9 which landed I believe in Columbus Ohio in the eighties. That pilot delayed descent and bypassed several airports. He didn’t instinctively know the closest airports. He got it on the ground eventually but lost 30 odd souls. In the 1998 crash of Swissair DC-10 off Nova Scotia was another example of heroic pilots. They were 15 minutes out of Halifax but the fire simply overcame them and they had to ditch in the ocean. Just ran out of time. That fire incidentally started when the aircraft was about an hour out of Kennedy. Guess what the transponders and communications were shut off as they pulled the busses.

Get on Google Earth and type in Pulau Langkawi and then look at it in relation to the radar track heading. 2+2=4 That for me is the simple explanation why it turned and headed in that direction.

Smart pilot. Just didn’t have the time.”

#Pray For MH370

Assalamualaikum all,

Since Saturday, 8 March 2014, we have been shocked with the news, MH370 plane is missing during a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing, China. Now already more than 48 hours have passed and still the plane is missing. Oh God! Oh Allah! Please help us find the plane. The whole world is concerned with this issue.

My personal advice is to pray for the well-being of all in the MH370 flight and also to their next of kin. Everywhere I go, people are expressing sadness and sympathy for the families of those on the flight. They are praying for a miracle and they are praying for the families of the passengers to be given strength.

Latest News: Dollar Collapse a Certainty?

This is astonishing news! When will it take place? Tomorrow, next week, next month, next year? What will your life be like in a post collapse world? Are you prepared? The collapse of the dollar will be the single largest event in human history. Every major civilization in history has collapsed. This will be the first event that will touch every single living person in the world. It is the de facto world currency. All other currency collapses will pale in comparison to this big one. All other currency crises have been regional and there were other currencies for people to grasp on to. No money in human history has had as much reach in both breadth and depth as the dollar. All human activity is controlled by money. Our wealth, our work, our food, our government, even our relationships are affected by money.

This collapse will be global and it will bring down not only the dollar but all other fiat currencies, as they are fundamentally no different. The collapse of currencies will lead to the collapse of ALL paper assets. The repercussions to this will have incredible results worldwide. Watch YouTube video below. (Source)

It is a mathematical inevitability. We will not be as fortunate to muddle through this collapse, like we did in 2008, when it was a corporate problem.” This time around it is a national and a global problem. The global Ponzi-Scheme has run out of gas: As the demographics decline; as cheap abundant oil declines, as hegemonic power declines: This comes at a time when we reach the exponential or collapse-phase of our money.

The irresistible force paradox says; “what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object: We are about to find out, when infinite money hits a very-finite world!

A crowded earth | 7 Billion Population

Dear friends,

This is a very interesting news. The world shall be crowded with 7 billion people on October 31, 2011. On CNN World it is reported that the global population hits 7 billion in the coming days, nations can take steps to tackle critical challenges and prepare for the arrival of billions more people this century, the United Nations said Wednesday.

The milestone is expected to be reached on October 31. Where? They say The World’s 7-billionth baby expected in India.

Wow! More people for us to be in contact. Even more staggering is that of the 7 billion people on Earth, about 1.4 billion of them will be old enough to have observed the arrivals of the 6 billionth, 5 billionth, 4 billionth and 3 billionth people in the world. About 42.5 million people could have blown the party horn for the birth of the 2 billionth baby. The population has risen very quickly over the last century. Demographers do expect a decline in the population growth rate, but absolute numbers will continue to rise, likely hitting 9 billion by 2050.

Okay, now, we look back at history’s past population milestones, asking: “How has the world changed?” This video is by National Geographic.

More reading here:

Good Cause: HalfDate

To All My Muslim friends, today I would like to share regarding a good cause on the Internet for The Ummah. I was approached by HalfDate admin to post this cause.

Okay, what is HalfDate all about?

HalfDate is inspired by the teaching of the Prophet Muhammad (peace and prayer be upon him) where he called us to be part of the solution even if our contribution is as small as half a date, or a pleasant word.

“Save yourself from the (Hell) Fire even with half a date (to be given in charity). And if you do not find a half date, then with a good pleasant word.” – Collected by Al-Bukhari

**HalfDate is MERELY a promotion site for good deeds, not a not-for-profit organization.**

HalfDate goal is to utilize the means that Allah (swt) has given us (you + the Internet) to do something good for this life and the hereafter, insyaAllah.

As you can see, HalfDate is not only about monetary donation drives, because in Islam, the concept of Sadaqa (charity) is much broader than that.

Narrated by Abu Huraira: Allah’s Apostle said, “To judge justly between two persons is regarded as Sadaqa, and to help a man concerning his riding animal by helping him to ride it or by lifting his luggage on to it, is also regarded as Sadaqa, and (saying) a good word is also Sadaqa, and every step taken on one’s way to offer the compulsory prayer (in the mosque) is also Sadaqa and to remove a harmful thing from the way is also Sadaqa.” -collected by Al-Bukhari

HalfDate DateDream:

  • Working together to get a specific task done even with our differences
  • Reviving the broad concept of Sadaqa
  • Putting the neglected (non-sizzling/boring) causes to the center stage
  • Incorporating fun, creativity, and ingenuity into philanthropy
  • Nourishing both the contributors and the beneficiaries
  • Leading the research and development efforts of Islamic philanthropy

O ye who believe! Enough day-dreaming, it’s time for Date Dreaming!

Let’s show Allah some real work. Help with your supplications, money, expertise, word of mouth and influence.

May Allah (swt) grant you the sweetest date in Jannah.

This post being extracted from the HalfDate website. Visit HalfDate today for the good cause of Muslim ummah.

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